- Republicans are having an unexpectedly strong showing in the race for the House of Representatives, flipping back several Democratic-controlled seats and holding off Democratic challengers in others.
- Still, Democrats are on track to keep their majority. The House currently consists of 232 Democrats, 197 Republicans, one Libertarian, and five vacancies.
- Republicans flipped seven Democratic-controlled seats, and Democrats won back two previously GOP-controlled North Carolina seats that were redistricted to be safely Democratic.
- As of Friday morning, Decision Desk HQ projected that Republicans had gained back five seats on net.
- Before the election, many election analysts expected Democrats to easily maintain and expand their majority by anywhere from five to 15 seats based on polling and fundraising data.
- Insider and Decision Desk HQ have projected Democratic nominees Joe Biden and Kamala Harris to win the 2020 presidential election over Donald Trump.
- Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives were up for election this fall, and Democrats have been losing key House seats to Republicans, though they are still on track to keep their majority.
In the 2018 midterms, Democrats flipped 40 seats in the House and won back the chamber in a historic election — a repudiation of both President Donald Trump and the unified Republican government he presided over for nearly two years.
House Democrats' top goal in the 2020 cycle was to ensure many of their most vulnerable members who had won back the most difficult seats were reelected.
Republicans are posting a remarkably strong showing, however, contrary to what many district-level polls and election forecasts indicated. Decision Desk HQ is already projecting that seven Democratic incumbents have lost reelection.
The House currently consists of 232 Democrats, 197 Republicans, one Libertarian (Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan, who is retiring), and five vacancies. But in 2020, Democrats will see their majority shrink by at least five seats on net, Decision Desk HQ projected as of Friday morning.
On Friday, Democratic nominees Joe Biden and Kamala Harris won the state of Pennsylvania, surpassing the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, Insider and Decision Desk HQ project.
Numerous freshman Democrats lost reelection
The vulnerable first-term Democrats who Decision Desk HQ projects to lose reelection are Reps. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala of Florida, Rep. Abby Finkenauer of Iowa, Rep. Xochitl Torres Small of New Mexico, Rep. Kendra Horn of Oklahoma, and Rep. Joe Cunningham of South Carolina.
Rep. Collin Peterson, a long-serving Democratic representative in a Minnesota district that Trump won by 30 points, also lost reelection Tuesday.
Some House Democrats who flipped Republican suburban and exurban seats in 2018 did win reelection on Tuesday, however, including Rep. Lucy McBath of Georgia, Rep. Katie Porter of California, Rep. Jennifer Wexton of Virginia, and Rep. Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey.
Democrats also fell short on many offensive targets
House Democrats also set out on an ambitious agenda to flip many Republican-controlled seats, particularly in Texas and in many suburban districts around the country.
But Democrats have failed, so far, to flip a single GOP-held seat other than two North Carolina seats that they were virtually guaranteed to flip because of court-ordered redistricting, according to Decision Desk HQ projections.
Democrats will not pick up competitive US House districts in Texas' 3rd, 10th, 21st, 22nd, or 23rd congressional districts, Decision Desk HQ projects. It remains too early to call the open race for the 24th District.
While Joe Biden is projected to carry Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District's sole electoral vote in the Electoral College, the Democratic candidate Kara Eastman failed in her second bid to unseat the district's congressional representative, Don Bacon, in this Omaha-based seat.
Also in the Midwest, GOP Rep. Ann Wagner won reelection in her district located in suburban St. Louis, over the Democratic candidate Jill Schupp. Republican Victoria Spartz defeated Democrat Christina Hale in the open race for Indiana's 5th District, a wealthy seat in suburban Indianapolis that Democrats saw as a possible pickup opportunity.
In Michigan, Republican Peter Meijer defeated Democrat Hillary Scholten to succeed retiring Rep. Justin Amash. And GOP Rep. Steve Chabot held off a challenge from the Democrat Kate Schroder in Ohio's 1st Congressional District, located in the Cincinnati area.
An incoming class of history-makers
Several of the newly elected state representatives are making history.
The Republican Madison Cawthorn, 25, who beat the Democrat Moe Davis to represent North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, will become the youngest member of Congress in modern history.
The Democrat Cori Bush is set to become the first Black congresswoman from Missouri after winning in the state's 1st Congressional District.
The Democrats Mondaire Jones and Ritchie Torres will also be the first openly gay Black men to serve in Congress, after winning in New York's 17th and 15th districts respectively.
And six out of the seven Republicans who have so far unseated incumbent Democrats (Maria Salazar of Florida, Ashley Hinson of Iowa, Stephanie Bice of Oklahoma, Michelle Fischbach of Minnesota, Yvette Herrell of New Mexico, and Nancy Mace of South Carolina) are women — wins that will drastically expand the representation of women in the House Republican caucus.
Currently, there are just 13 voting female Republican representatives in the House and 11 female Republican incumbents who ran for reelection in 2020.
'The squad' coasts to reelection
Three high-profile Democratic members of "the squad" in the House of Representatives held their seats in a comfortable fashion.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will continue to represent New York's 14th District, defeating the Republican John Cummings by a wide margin, while Rep. Ilhan Omar also ran well ahead of the Republican Lacy Johnson in the race to represent Minnesota's 5th District.
Rep. Rashida Tlaib also soundly defeated her Republican challenger, David Dudenhoefer, and will continue to represent Michigan's 13th Congressional District.
Insider's guides and live results for the key US House seats up for election in 2020
- AK-AL: Alyse Galvin takes on Republican Don Young in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District
- AZ-01: Tiffany Shedd takes on Democrat Tom O'Halleran in Arizona's 1st Congressional District
- AZ-02: Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick defends her seat against Republican Brandon Martin in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District
- AZ-06: Hiral Tipirneni looks to unseat incumbent Rep. David Schweikert in Arizona's 6th Congressional District
- AR-02: GOP Rep. French Hill holds his seat in Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District against Democrat Joyce Elliot
- CA-04: GOP Rep. Tom McClintock has won reelection in California's 4th Congressional District after defeating Democratic challenger Brynne Kennedy.
- CA-10: First-term Democratic Rep. Josh Harder defends his seat in California's 10th Congressional District
- CA-21: Incumbent T.J. Cox and David Valadao square up for a rematch in California's 21st Congressional District
- CA-22: GOP Rep. Devin Nunes retains his seat in California's 22nd Congressional District
- CA-25: Rep. Mike Garcia faces a rematch against Christy Smith in California's 25th Congressional District
- CA-39: Young Kim looks to unseat Democratic Rep. Gil Cisneros in California's 39th Congressional District
- CA-45: First-term Democratic Rep. Katie Porter projected to keep her seat in California's 45th Congressional District
- CA-48: First-term Rep. Harley Rouda will face Republican Michelle Steel in California's 48th Congressional District
- CA-50: Republican Darrell Issa and Democrat Ammar Campa Najjar battle for the open seat in California's 50th Congressional District
- CA-53: Sara Jacobs beats fellow Democrat Georgette Gómez to represent California's 53rd Congressional District in the House of Representatives
- CO-03: Republican Lauren Boebert defeats Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush to represent Colorado's 3rd Congressional District
- CO-06: First-term Rep. Jason Crow beats Republican challenger Steve House to maintain control of Colorado's 6th Congressional District
- FL-15: Republican Scott Franklin beats Democrat Alan Cohn to represent Florida's 15th Congressional District
- Fl-16: GOP Rep. Vern Buchanan projected to retain his seat against Margaret Good in Florida's 16th Congressional District
- FL-26: Republican Carlos Gimenez unseats freshman Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Florida's 26th Congressional District
FL-27: Republican Maria Elvira Salazar unseats first-term Democratic Rep. Donna Shalala in Florida's 27th Congressional District
- GA-06: Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath retains control of Georgia's 6th Congressional District
- GA-07: Carolyn Bourdeaux and Rich McCormick square off in Georgia's 7th Congressional District
- IL-06: First-term Rep. Sean Casten has defended his seat in Illinois' 6th Congressional District from Republican challenger Jeanne Ives.
- IL-13: GOP Rep. Rodney Davis wins reelection in Illinois' 13th Congressional District after a second challenge from Betsy Londrigan
- IL-14: Democratic Rep. Lauren Underwood defeats Jim Oberweis in Illinois' 14th Congressional District
- IL-17: Rep. Cheri Bustos wins reelection against Republican Esther Joy King in Illinois' 17th District
- IN-05: Republican Victoria Spartz beats Democrat Christina Hale in race for Indiana's 5th Congressional District
- IA-01: Republican Ashley Hinson is projected to unseat Rep. Abby Finkenauer in Iowa's 1st Congressional District
- IA-02: Democrat Rita Hart and Mariannette Miller-Meeks face off in the open race for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District
- IA-03: Democratic incumbent Rep. Cindy Axne retains her seat in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District form a challenge by Republican David Young.
- IA-04: Republican Randy Feenstra beats Democrat J.D. Scholten to represent Iowa's 4th Congressional District
- KS-02: Republican Jake LaTurner beats Democrat Michelle De La Isla to represent Kansas' 2nd District
- KS-03: First-term Rep. Sharice Davids bears Republican challenger Amanda Adkins to maintain control of Kansas' 3rd Congressional District
- KY-06: GOP Rep. Andy Barr retains his seat in the House for a fifth term after facing a challenge from Josh Hicks in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District
- ME-02: Democratic Rep. Jared Golden is projected to win reelection in Maine's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Dale Crafts
- MI-03: Republican Peter Meijer is projected to defeat Democrat Hillary Scholten in Michigan's 3rd Congressional District
- MI-06: Rep. Fred Upton defeats Democrat Jon Hoadley to win Michigan's 6th Congressional District
- MI-08: Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin is projected to retain her seat against Paul Junge in Michigan's 8th Congressional District
- MI-11: First-term Rep. Haley Stevens wins reelection against Republican Eric Esshaki in Michigan's 11th Congressional District
- MN-01: First-term Rep. Jim Hagedorn is projected to defeat Democrat Daniel Feehan in a rematch to represent Minnesota's 1st Congressional District
- MN-02: First-term Democratic Rep. Angie Craig defeats Tyler Kistner in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District
- MN-03: First-term Rep. Dean Phillips beats Republican Kendall Qualls to keep his seat in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District
- MN-07: Former Minnesota Lt. Gov. Michelle Fischbach defeated Democratic incumbent Rep. Collin Peterson in Minnesota's 7th Congressional District
- MN-08: First-term Rep. Pete Stauber defended his seat against Democrat Quinn Nystrom in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District
- MO-02: Republican Rep. Ann Wagner beats Democratic challenger Jill Schupp to win Missouri's 2nd Congressional District
- MT-AL: Republican Matt Rosendale beats Democrat Kathleen Williams in Montana's At-Large Congressional District
- NE-02: Republican incumbent Rep. Don Bacon beats Democrat Kara Eastman to represent Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
- NV-03: First-term Rep. Susie Lee faces off against Republican Daniel Rodimer in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District
- NV-04: Rep. Steven Horsford looks to defend his seat against Republican Jim Marchant in Nevada's 4th Congressional District
- NH-01: Democratic incumbent Rep. Chris Pappas defeated Republican Matt Mowers in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
- NJ-02: Now-Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew and Democrat Amy Kennedy vie for a chance to represent New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District
- NJ-03: Rep. Andy Kim defeats Republican challenger David Richter in New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District
- NJ-05: Rep. Josh Gottheimer defends his House seat against Republican Frank Pallotta in New Jersey's 5th Congressional District
- NJ-07: First-term Rep. Tom Malinowski looks to defend his seat against Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey's 7th Congressional District
- NJ-11: First-term Rep. Mikie Sherrill wins reelection in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District after a challenge from Republican Rosemary Becchi
- NM-02: Republican Yvette Herrell unseated Democratic Rep. Xochitl Torres Small in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District
- NY-01: GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin faces off against Democrat Nancy Goroff in New York's 1st Congressional District
- NY-02: Democrat Jackie Gordon and Republican Andrew Garbarino face off in New York's 2nd District
- NY-11: Max Rose and Nicole Malliotakis vie to represent New York's 11th Congressional District
- NY-18: Republican Chele Farley looks to unseat Rep. Sean Maloney in New York's 18th Congressional District
- NY-19: First-term Rep. Antonio Delgado defended his seat against Republican Kyle Van De Water in New York's 19th Congressional District
- NY-22: Incumbent Democrat Anthony Brindisi and Republican Claudia Tenney are set for a rematch in New York's 22nd Congressional District
- NY-24: GOP Rep. John Katko and Democrat Dana Balter square off in a rematch for New York's 24th District
- NC-02: Democrat Deborah Ross beats Republican Alan Swain to represent North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
- NC-06: Democrat Kathy Manning beats Republican Lee Haywood in North Carolina's 6th Congressional District
- NC-08: GOP Rep. Richard Hudson staves off a challenge from Democrat Patricia Timmons-Goodson in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District
- NC-11: Republican Madison Cawthorn beats Democrat Moe Davis in North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
- OH-01: GOP Rep. Steve Chabot defeated Democrat Kate Schroder in Ohio's 1st Congressional District
- OH-10: 4-term incumbent Rep. Mike Turner beats Democrat Desiree Tims in Ohio's 10th Congressional District.
- OH-12: Republican incumbent Rep. Troy Balderson defends his seat against Democrat Alaina Shearer in Ohio's 12th Congressional District
- OK-05: Democrat Kendra Horn loses reelection in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District to Republican Stephanie Bice
- OR-04: 17-term incumbent Rep. Peter DeFazio retains his seat against Republican Alek Skarlatos in Oregon's 4th Congressional District
- PA-01: Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick is projected to defeat Democrat Christina Finello in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District
- PA-07: First-term Rep. Susan Wild will face Republican Lisa Scheller in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
- PA-08: Democrat Matt Cartwright has defeated Jim Bognet in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District
- PA-10: Democrat Eugene DePasquale fails to unseat Rep. Scott Perry in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District
- PA-16: Republican Rep. Mike Kelly holds onto his seat in Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District after a challenge from Democrat Kristy Gnibus
- PA-17: Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb looks to hold onto his House seat against Republican Sean Parnell in Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District
- SC-01: Republican Nancy Mace unseated Democratic incumbent Rep. Joe Cunningham in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District
- TX-02: Freshman Republican Rep. Dan Crenshaw holds his seat in Texas' 2nd Congressional District against a challenge from Democrat Sima Ladjevardian
- TX-03: First-term GOP Rep. Van Taylor defended his seat against Democrat Lulu Seikaly in Texas' 3rd Congressional District
- TX-07: First-term Rep. Lizzie Fletcher retained her seat in Texas' 7th Congressional District
- TX-10: Eight-term incumbent Rep. Michael McCaul beats Democrat Mike Siegel in Texas' 10th Congressional District
- TX-21: First-term Rep. Chip Roy beats Wendy Davis in Texas' 21st Congressional District
- TX-22: Republican Troy Nehls beats Democrat Sri Preston Kulkarni to win Texas' 22nd Congressional District
- TX-23: Republican Tony Gonzales defeats Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones to represent Texas' 23rd Congressional District
- TX-24: Republican Beth Duyne and Democrat Candace Valenzuela fight to represent Texas' 24th Congressional District
- TX-25: 4-term GOP incumbent Rep. Roger Williams beats Julie Oliver in Texas' 25th Congressional District
- TX-31: 9-term incumbent Rep. John Carter fends off Democrat Donna Imam in Texas' 31st Congressional District
- UT-04: First-term Rep. Ben McAdams and Burgess Owens face off in Utah's 4th Congressional District
- VA-02: Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria is projected to defeat Scott Taylor in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District
- VA-05: GOP Rep. Bob Good beats Democrat Cameron Webb in Virginia's 5th Congressional District
- VA-07: Nick Freitas squares off against incumbent Democrat Abigail Spanberger in Virginia's 7th Congressional District
- WA-03: GOP Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler has defeated Carolyn Long in Washington's 3rd Congressional District.
- WA-08: First-term Rep. Kim Schrier squares off against Republican Jesse Jensen in Washington's 8th Congressional District
- WI-03: 12-term incumbent Rep. Ron Kind is projected to defeat Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District
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